July 26, 2006

Nuclear Math

I don't do politics. Others do.

I've been genuinely concerned about someone going nuclear in the Middle East.

Blog Brother _Jon of We Swear has some statistics on nuclear fall out if someone did go nuclear over there. Interesting read... go HERE. (Don't let his title fool you...)

Posted by Boudicca at July 26, 2006 10:09 PM | TrackBack

... it ANYWHERE gets nuked, it is going to be a nightmare for generations.....

Posted by: Eric at July 26, 2006 11:08 PM

I figure that if anyone gets nuked it will be Iran. Iran cannot nuke Israel until they get nukesand thus far do not have even one. Israel reportedly has a couple of hundred. Israel is at the moment playing one hell of a hand of poker except they may not be bluffing. When you look at what they have to lose if in fact they do lose..well, why not go out with a bang instead of being led to the gas chambers.

Some say, the world would never let this happen. Well, the world including the USA let it happen before and there is no reason to think they would not let it happen again rather than risk a world war.

It is scary..but my money is still on Israel to come out of it on top without using nukes. The Iranians are crazier than run over dawgs but not stupid.

Posted by: GUYK at July 27, 2006 06:53 AM

Eric- I agree. And it opens up the box... once one whacko does it, someone else thinks they can too. Or at least that is what I suspect.

GuyK- Let us hope we do not find out. But whether it be Iran or Israel that takes the big one, theoretically, his math can be applied to either country, just shift and then look at what surrounds Iran. It's ugly and I just hope, that even though its war, people can keep it in check.

Posted by: Bou at July 27, 2006 07:59 AM

I used to wargame nuclear exchanges for the JCS. Believe me, there are NO winners. But every contemporary leader probably knows that. It would be suicide for anyone to go first.

Posted by: Angus of Loch Lamond at July 27, 2006 02:41 PM

Laughing Wolf posted a very insightful analysis as well...but you knew that already.

Posted by: Elisson at July 27, 2006 10:17 PM